And Zhou et al. find that returns can eventually turn negative: at high budgets, models sometimes abandon an earlier correct answer. Easy problems peak much sooner than hard ones. arxiv.org/abs/2604.10739
YY Ahn
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But Snell et al. found that the best inference strategy depends on how hard the problem is; a fixed budget is wasteful because easy and hard prompts benefit from different amounts of computation. arxiv.org/abs/2408.03314
Many test-time-compute papers show why this is hard. In an extreme version, just appending "Wait" whenever the model tried to stop raised the benchmark. Often, just forcing more reasoning does work: arxiv.org/abs/2501.19393
I think that's exactly what many skills are about. Many of github.com/yy/claude-sc... are basically such checklists to go through.
Neural Scaling Universality: If Exponents Are Fixed, Time to Understand Coefficients arxiv.org/abs/2606.25008
"Leak, Cheat, Repeat: Data Contamination and Evaluation Malpractices in Closed-Source LLMs" arxiv.org/abs/2402.03927
This paper looks cool: arxiv.org/abs/2605.23901 "We propose the Shannon Scaling Law, a unified theoretical framework that models LLM training as information transmission over a noisy channel ... The Shannon Scaling Law consistently outperforms classical scaling laws ..."
Sutton's "Bitter Lesson" keeps showing up in new corners. Latest example on data filtering for pretraining: arxiv.org/abs/2605.19407 "... with enough compute, the best data filter is no data filter." -- Btw, Welch Labs has a nice video on the "bitter lesson": www.youtube.com/w…
www.seangoedecke.com/ai-models-ne... interesting. Maybe on the same line, it's also hilarious to see LLMs estimate that it'll take weeks to build something and then one-shot it within 5 minutes when you actually ask to build it.
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"A lecture is the process whereby the notes of the professor become the notes of the student without passing through the mind of either." I think this may apply to lots of "LLM wiki" usage.
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