Ryan Moulton

What would you count as intelligent? Most recently, it reasoned for 250 pages and proved an important open math result, and found thousands of critical security vulnerabilities in important software. Surely that's at least intelligence within those domains? www.anthropic.com/r…

Project Glasswing: An initial update \ Anthropic anthropic.com

This paper addresses the claim in the ML sense, that interpolation in high dimensions is more or less vacuous, but the sense people mean for LLMs is different, and I'm not sure whether we are using the right words. arxiv.org/abs/2110.09485

Learning in High Dimension Always Amounts to Extrapolation arxiv.org

I know this in part comes from being self satisfied with my own writing and I might otherwise feel differently, but using AI to write feels like using AI to speak in person to your friends and family. open.substack.com/pub/samkriss...

If you let AI do your writing, I will come to your house and kill you samkriss.substack.com

I wrote this a few years ago, but I think it holds up, and might bridge the gap a bit. I think what LLMs are doing is intermediate between reasoning and retrieval, but the amount of reasoning has gone up as they've improved. moultano.wordpress.com/2023/06/28/t...

The Many Ways that Digital Minds Can Know moultano.wordpress.com

AI denial does function well as a low stakes tracer dye for how much groupthink is in a community. If you see a high frequency of afflicted people, that community hasn't ingested any info other than social signalling in a decade.

I don't enjoy dunks on bsky AI denialists. Their primary sin is only that their cope isn't consonant with mine.

Strategy game where the AI does the strategy, out of your hands, and instead you're responsible for the logistics.

I wonder if LLMs will so dominate what everyone reads, and consequently what they write, that in a decade pre-LLM English will feel stilted and old, or maybe even unintelligible.

I should have an LLM teach me electronics.

Bread and circuses isn't going to help much with AI displacement if AI makes the circuses (computer hardware) too expensive for consumers to compete.

There's a clever mechanic in forbidden island, where you draw random tiles to submerge, but when the "water rises" you reshuffle those tiles again and put them on the top so you will draw them again very shortly. Seems similar to the shape of AI capabilities.