Ryan Moulton

What would you count as intelligent? Most recently, it reasoned for 250 pages and proved an important open math result, and found thousands of critical security vulnerabilities in important software. Surely that's at least intelligence within those domains? www.anthropic.com/r…

Project Glasswing: An initial update \ Anthropic anthropic.com

This paper addresses the claim in the ML sense, that interpolation in high dimensions is more or less vacuous, but the sense people mean for LLMs is different, and I'm not sure whether we are using the right words. arxiv.org/abs/2110.09485

Learning in High Dimension Always Amounts to Extrapolation arxiv.org

I know this in part comes from being self satisfied with my own writing and I might otherwise feel differently, but using AI to write feels like using AI to speak in person to your friends and family. open.substack.com/pub/samkriss...

If you let AI do your writing, I will come to your house and kill you samkriss.substack.com

I wrote this a few years ago, but I think it holds up, and might bridge the gap a bit. I think what LLMs are doing is intermediate between reasoning and retrieval, but the amount of reasoning has gone up as they've improved. moultano.wordpress.com/2023/06/28/t...

The Many Ways that Digital Minds Can Know moultano.wordpress.com

This is a thread where I interpolated between 4 prompts across the image of "place in <season>" x.com/moultano/sta...

Ryan Moulton (@moultano) on X x.com

AI denial does function well as a low stakes tracer dye for how much groupthink is in a community. If you see a high frequency of afflicted people, that community hasn't ingested any info other than social signalling in a decade.

Paul's replies are of course full of cranks, nothing new, a constant on Twitter for years, but I noticed something new this time. They sound identical to the people on bsky who think ai doesn't work.

I don't enjoy dunks on bsky AI denialists. Their primary sin is only that their cope isn't consonant with mine.

Strategy game where the AI does the strategy, out of your hands, and instead you're responsible for the logistics.

I wonder if LLMs will so dominate what everyone reads, and consequently what they write, that in a decade pre-LLM English will feel stilted and old, or maybe even unintelligible.

I think it's almost guaranteed that any literate person graduating from highschool in the next 5 years is going to natively write in slopese. They will have read more ai output than all other textual sources combined.

Seems sort of inherent at least in the data scaling regime, that AI will be best at making things we have too much of already. If we already had too many cancer cures it could surely give us another.

Funny experience on reddit. r/prehistoricmemes loved this image until a bunch of people noticed the gemini watermark, then got mad, and the mods deleted it. Then I remade it in gimp, and someone got mad at that one for being AI too.

Have EA verbal patterns rubbed off on the rest of AI lab staff or are there just that many of them? “deeply uncertain” “go well”

There is incredible consistency in the way that people will reject that each of climate change, fertility rates, and AI risk, are real problems just because they find the advocates and their proposals to be gross.