Colin

what do you think this is about?

An OpenAI model has disproved a central conjecture in discrete geometry | OpenAI openai.com

sorry forgot to link

AGI could drive wages below subsistence level epoch.ai

Regardless of what happens to any of the individual players involved in A.I. in 2026, there’s no going back to the world before we knew that if you make a language model large enough it appears to become a little guy who sometimes solves open math problems and sometimes makes you insane

Ed Zitron went on Chapo and he was too insane head-in-the-sand denialist even for them. Felix goes "maybe AI assisted coding can contribute to drug research or cut the 12 year game development cycle down somewhat" and Ed is just like "WRONG!!"

Three things about AI detection 1. It’s not possible to tell for sure whether a passage of text is generated by AI. 2. It’s apparently possible to do better than chance in many real world situations. 3. It may not be possible to do sufficiently better than chance for most obvious applications.

It's so funny to be like "if AI takes all human jobs then wages will fall. Why, you might ask? Well, consider that the Cobb Douglas Production function has a negative second partial derivative wrt L" like you're hiding the babybrainiest take in fake math that gives you no extra insights whatsoever

One of the earliest examples that really shocked me with LLMs was this circa early 2024. This still blows my mind to this day. Somehow it simultaneously has the full text of Harry Potter memorized and the wherewithal to translate it into mathbb characters. This is incredibly strange.

one funny thing in this Pew report on Americans' AI usage is that respondents are more likely to predict AI will have a negative impact than a positive impact, but when you ask them how it impacts them personally across different areas, each area tilts positive, mostly by a lot

There just aren’t a lot of precedents for what’s going on with AI so I think it’s quite challenging to make accurate predictions about what’s going to happen

I hereby declare that I do not give Anthropic or Dario Amodei permission to use my posts or any content I have ever posted to train Claude or any AI models. This profile is private and confidential information. The violation of privacy can be punished by law (UCC 1-308 and the Rome Statute).

Kind of a strange thing with AI in 2026 is that some of the most implausible scenarios, from a 2022 perspective, have largely come to pass, and some of the least implausible scenarios have not

I was kind of wrong about LLMs. Not totally wrong but kind of.