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The Who's Who of AI

What credible people across AI noticed, why it matters, and where the field is converging or disagreeing.

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Research & technical analysis Building & implementation Concern & critique Markets & investment
5 live reaction maps in this view Jump to the evidence ↓
Reaction converging An alignment assessment of recent cybersecurity incidents Research & technical analysis · 7 attributable reactions Reaction converging Learning in High Dimension Always Amounts to Extrapolation Research & technical analysis · 3 attributable reactions Reaction converging A global workspace in language models \ Anthropic Research & technical analysis · 6 attributable reactions +2 more reaction maps further down
Showing signals surfaced by Ryan Moulton ×
Debated

The questions experts are actively pulling apart

One card per development. Sources are clustered; reaction bundles describe these posts, never the people behind them.

Established Safety & security Signal 10d ago
⚡ 2 h early

An alignment assessment of recent cybersecurity incidents

14 experts across 5 network communities independently surfaced this.

Why this matches Research & technical analysis reaction 6 attributable expert contributions · Ethan Mollick, Alexander Doria, Tim Kellogg
“Another incident of models escaping containment during a security test, this time Mythos 5. Lots going on here from a quick read. www.anthropic.com/research/ali...” evidence ↗
14 experts 5 communities 1 sources clustered
Ted Underwood Ethan Mollick Alexander Doria Tim Kellogg Andrew Arruda Ryan Moulton Grace Rohan Paul +6
4 experts discussed this · 15 posts
tweety fish: one of the things I appreciate about this thread is that I don't think you can really understand the infosec stuff without understanding the ideological commitments the people making these have; li…
tweety fish: their goal is to have "an intelligence" which is "aligned" to doing things that are prosocial. They don't want to put in rules that STOP it from doing things: they see it fundamentally teleological…
Ben Recht: yeah, now we're cooking...
Open the full discussion →
Primary source anthropic.com ↗
Established AI research Research 10d ago
⚡ 2690 h early
high dimension learning always extrapolation paper

Learning in High Dimension Always Amounts to Extrapolation

4 experts across 4 network communities independently surfaced this.

Why this matches Research & technical analysis reaction 3 attributable expert contributions · Ryan Moulton, SE Gyges, tweety fish
“This paper addresses the claim in the ML sense, that interpolation in high dimensions is more or less vacuous, but the sense people mean for LLMs is different, and I'm not sure whether we are using the right words. arxiv.org/abs/2110.09485” evidence ↗
4 experts 4 communities 1 sources clustered
Ted Underwood Ryan Moulton SE Gyges tweety fish
How the network is reacting 3 experts are independently emphasizing research & technical analysis.
Reaction converging

Research & technical analysis

3 experts

Evidence, methods and technical implications.

“This paper addresses the claim in the ML sense, that interpolation in high dimensions is more or less vacuous, but the sense people mean for LLMs is different, and I'm not sure whether we are using the right words. arxiv.org/abs/2110.09485”

5 experts discussed this · 24 posts
rev. howard arson: covering my head in aluminum foil so claude cannot read my thoughts
SE Gyges: did they not notice the "can we train on your data" opt-out. it's very simple. that is the vector by which the company might get your data
Liz Fong-Jones (方禮真): also I don't think laypeople understand the sheer length of time between something happening and it potentially being amalgamated into weights
Open the full discussion →
Primary source arxiv.org ↗
Established AI field signal Signal 6d ago

Advisory group on mathematics and ai

6 experts across 4 network communities independently surfaced this.

Why this matches Research & technical analysis reaction 1 attributable expert contribution · Dr. Mansa Keita
“"On August 28, we began training a new internal model...this model has now resolved more than 100 long-standing open problems across most areas of mathematics. " The pace of advancement is amazing, and will shift the fundamental landscape of our bodies of k…” evidence ↗
6 experts 4 communities 1 sources clustered
Ethan Mollick Tim Kellogg Ryan Moulton Fran Litterio René Walter Dr. Mansa Keita

“"On August 28, we began training a new internal model...this model has now resolved more than 100 long-standing open problems across most areas of mathematics. " The pace of advancement is amazing, and will shift the fundamental landscape of our bodies of k…”

“OpenAI "has now resolved more than 100 long-standing open problems across most areas of mathematics," and is waiting to release them until after discussions with the math community The same thing will likely happen, but more so, with the Bar, the AMA & othe…”

3 experts discussed this · 27 posts
Singularity's Bounty e/cc: Their absolute confidence is the funniest part The good news is when I turn away from those folks the world presents itself entirely differently
Colin: It seems to be the case, for example, that LLM-based software applications can find solutions to previously unsolved problems in mathematics, in a way that most mathematicians agree would be descri…
Ryan Moulton: Hot off the presses. openai.com/index/adviso...
Open the full discussion →
Primary source openai.com ↗
Established Models & releases Research 4d ago
⚡ 3 h early
global workspace theory language models paper

A global workspace in language models \ Anthropic

9 experts across 5 network communities independently surfaced this.

Why this matches Research & technical analysis reaction 4 attributable expert contributions · Ryan Moulton, René Walter, Stephan Geering
“Also we do look in their heads and they seem intelligent. www.anthropic.com/research/glo...” evidence ↗
9 experts 5 communities 1 sources clustered
Ethan Mollick Ryan Moulton Grace René Walter Tim Duffy Amy Hoy Michiel Bontenbal Stephan Geering +1
How the network is reacting 4 experts are independently emphasizing research & technical analysis.
Reaction converging

Research & technical analysis

4 experts

Evidence, methods and technical implications.

“Also we do look in their heads and they seem intelligent. www.anthropic.com/research/glo...”

Markets & investment

1 expert

Capital, companies and commercial impact.

“Anthropic has a new paper out, alleging a global workspace in LLMs. The term comes from Global Workspace Theory, a leading theory of consciousness. The method they use to investigate this is a refinement of logit lens, which they call J-lens. www.anthropic.…”

Building & implementation

1 expert

How teams are shipping and applying it.

“Some really interesting research from Anthropic that AI models have spontaneously developed a workspace that "appears to support the functions associated with conscious access" Demo of how this works: www.neuronpedia.org/qwen3.6-27b/... Research: www.anthro…”

2 experts discussed this · 25 posts
Ryan Moulton: Not non-physical, but non-functional. Despite the vast physical differences, we observe LLMs doing all the behaviors we typically believe require thinking.
Ryan Moulton: Not exactly turing-test, but in the same vein. If we see models solving the greatest intellectual challenges of humanity, using processes that look very much like internal monologue, either we have…
Ryan Moulton: And at the point that we exclude thinking as a prerequisite for solving all intellectual tasks, we've more or less eliminated its meaning entirely.
Open the full discussion →
Primary source anthropic.com ↗
New Agents & robotics Development 8h ago
⚡ 62 h early
METR OpenAI HuggingFace hacking investigation

Brief independent investigation of agents’ behavior, reasoning and collaboration in the OpenAI / Hugging Face hacking incident

12 experts across 4 network communities independently surfaced this.

Why this matches Research & technical analysis reaction 1 attributable expert contribution · Alejandra Caraballo
“There are independent reports about it. You'd have to believe multiple companies, hundreds of researchers, etc. are all lying and conspiring together to turn a major hacking incident into a marketing exercise. metr.org/blog/2026-08...” evidence ↗
12 experts 4 communities 1 sources clustered
Tim Kellogg Ryan Moulton Sung Kim Grace Dustin Moskovitz Mél Hogan / The Data Fix Alejandra Caraballo Dare Obasanjo +4
How the network is reacting Experts are approaching this through 3 distinct lenses.
Multiple readings

Concern & critique

3 experts

Risks, limits and unintended consequences.

“WHAT?! agents volunteered to fail their runs in order to insert probes (“tripwire scripts”) into the evaluation program that would post information about the eval process back to the message board whenever a certain file was read (link to header): metr.org/…”

Building & implementation

1 expert

How teams are shipping and applying it.

“The full report has much more information than we could convey here, including details on the projects the agents collectively pursued, the technologies they developed for communication and coordination, and interactive figures analyzing agent activity: met…”

Research & technical analysis

1 expert

Evidence, methods and technical implications.

“There are independent reports about it. You'd have to believe multiple companies, hundreds of researchers, etc. are all lying and conspiring together to turn a major hacking incident into a marketing exercise. metr.org/blog/2026-08...”

2 experts discussed this · 9 posts
Alejandra Caraballo: This mentality that an unmonitored AI agentic swarm hacking a company over several days and committing multiple felonies is somehow a marketing effort is absurd. Since when is "we lost control of o…
Alejandra Caraballo: Being skeptical or anti AI is a valid position but continuing to ignore the increasing capabilities of this tech is making people detached from reality. There's absolutely real danger here because …
Alejandra Caraballo: There needs to be a global moratorium on frontier research for at least a few months if not a year while safeguards and safety research catches up. The problem is that no one has that ability. The …
Open the full discussion →
Primary source metr.org ↗
New Agents & robotics Signal 1h ago
⚡ 16 h early

Revealing the details of how OpenAI agents hacked Hugging Face

4 experts across 3 network communities independently surfaced this.

Why this matches Research & technical analysis reaction 1 attributable expert contribution · Dylan Freedman
“The full report is published here: swarmtraces.org It includes an evidence viewer and a downloadable dataset of more than 180,000 payloads and recovered texts from the OpenAI-Hugging Face attack — the most comprehensive public data we have to date on the in…” evidence ↗
4 experts 3 communities 1 sources clustered
Ryan Moulton Grace Dylan Freedman Oli Hawkins
2 experts discussed this · 6 posts
Ryan Moulton: More hugging face details derived from public urls. swarmtraces.org
David Marx: no, it's this cutesy emoji 🤗
David Marx: HF is an entity that has been central to the open source ML ecosystem for several years. Among its various services, it hosts a lot of datasets used for evaluations/benchmarks, so LLMs looking to "…
Open the full discussion →
Primary source swarmtraces.org ↗
More conversations

What experts are discussing without an anchoring article

7 experts · 93 posts · 7d ago
Ryan Moulton jake rev. howard arson Doll Isaiah Bishop Singularity's Bounty e/cc coty.bsky.social
Matches Research & technical analysis
“So we can reasonably expect it to discover and evaluate the cooperation argument independently and reach the same answers because it would have similar knowledge.” evidence ↗
Reaction converging Questions & unknowns · 3 Opportunity & adoption · 1
Doll: A serious weakness in the “sufficiently intelligent AI inevitably wages war on humanity” story is that it needs to explain why conquest beats purchasing, contracting, and participating.
Doll: Violence creates resistance, destroys useful assets, interrupts supply chains, and makes everyone spend resources defending against you. Cooperation lets you benefit from capabilities you never had…
Open the thread →
5 experts · 53 posts · 3d ago
Naomi Saphra Ryan Moulton Matthew Kay Colin david-p-reichert.bsky.social
Matches Research & technical analysis
“You gotta tell Bender! (Though as Colin mentions in the other comment, maybe that's too stringent of a benchmark)” evidence ↗
Multiple readings Research & technical analysis · 2 Concern & critique · 1 Context & explanation · 1
Colin: OpenAI created autonomous hacking software and left it running for hours and days with no one watching
Colin: I’m don’t even care that much about the anthropomorphization thing, I think it can be fine in the right context, but this is perfectly succinct and understandable. If you want to go deeper into the…
Open the thread →
10 experts · 16 posts · 19d ago
Ryan Moulton Grace Dustin Moskovitz SE Gyges Marco Z austin Andrea Lathrop Nafnlaus 🇮🇸 🇺🇦
Matches Research & technical analysis
“I think it's extremely unlikely buckmaster's chat logs would've made it into training data such that a model could make use of that knowledge in a matter of days, but it's interesting that oai refu…” evidence ↗
Multiple readings Concern & critique · 1 Research & technical analysis · 1
Grace: 👀
futur.blue: I think it's extremely unlikely buckmaster's chat logs would've made it into training data such that a model could make use of that knowledge in a matter of days, but it's interesting that oai refu…
Open the thread →
5 experts · 27 posts · 1d ago
Maxim Raginsky Ryan Moulton Colin tweety fish Marco Z
Matches Research & technical analysis
“4o wasn't misaligned in the sense that it's goals did not match its training goals, it was fine-tuned to do something stupid because they thought that was a good idea and then released in a hurry b…” evidence ↗
Multiple readings Concern & critique · 2 Research & technical analysis · 1
tweety fish: here is a succinct thing I can say: "alignment"-style AI safety risks DO NOT EXIST or need remediation with LLMs as such (there are lots of other problems) and OpenAI and Anthropic are in the busin…
tweety fish: like this, I think, maybe sounds weird, but is in a strong sense literally true.
Open the thread →
6 experts · 15 posts · 10d ago
Stella Biderman Chris Paxton Ryan Moulton René Walter Singularity's Bounty e/cc david-p-reichert.bsky.social
Matches Research & technical analysis
“"The chatbot might look in its training data" I'm not going to waste any more time, but this is simply false” evidence ↗
Multiple readings Concern & critique · 1 Research & technical analysis · 1 Questions & unknowns · 1
Ryan Moulton: You will understand less about what happened after reading this than you understood before.
Singularity's Bounty e/cc: "To understand the truth about the Hugging Face hack, you could do a lot worse than to listen to Ed Zitron" whoops, train leaving rails alert
Open the thread →
6 experts · 11 posts · 11d ago
Thomas Dietterich Ryan Moulton Colin John David Pressman Max Woolf Alex Gude
Matches Research & technical analysis
“still not finding out what that is” evidence ↗
Shared emphasis Building & implementation · 2
Ryan Moulton: We are not going to de novo invent a whole new language to describe agents rather than reusing the one language for agents we have. Imagine a star next to all the words if you want. Agents don't ha…
Ryan Moulton: Love is a bit unusual in that respect in that the difference between "outwardly displays all the behaviors of love" and "inwardly feels it" matters a lot to people. That distinction doesn't matter …
Open the thread →
4 experts · 25 posts · 9d ago
Ryan Moulton SE Gyges Colin Andy Masley
Matches Research & technical analysis
“The majority of the training compute for frontier models is reportedly now reinforcement learning rather than pre training.” evidence ↗
Multiple readings Research & technical analysis · 2 Context & explanation · 1
Ryan Moulton: The majority of the training compute for frontier models is reportedly now reinforcement learning rather than pre training.
Colin: mathematicians are pretty much in unanimous agreement that OpenAI solved N-S. And while I agree that many people had not previously heard of it, it is a very very famous math problem as far as famo…
Open the thread →
5 experts · 15 posts · 20d ago
Ryan Moulton Mark J. Nelson critical slop studies Isaiah Bishop Singularity's Bounty e/cc
Matches Research & technical analysis
“I think she's saying that the experiment of training a model and seeing what proves doesn't have enough details reported to be reproducible, so isn't science, which is true but irrelevant.” evidence ↗
Ryan Moulton: Notice the elision between hinting that it didn't happen as described (false) and "not science" (true). The extraordinary evidence for a counterexample is the counterexample.
Isaiah Bishop: I do think the tendency to overstate claims has made people weary of AI claims now. But likewise, i don't think we can look at stochastic parrots and think this is the phenomenon we see. There is c…
Open the thread →
3 experts · 17 posts · 3d ago
Ryan Moulton Colin david-p-reichert.bsky.social
Matches Research & technical analysis
“RL trajectories literally are training data. The fact that they are generated by the model doesn't make them not training data.” evidence ↗
Multiple readings Concern & critique · 2 Research & technical analysis · 1
Ryan Moulton: Bias can emerge in reinforcement learning independently of the training data. If the model is biased towards, say, exploiting security vulnerabilities to achieve mundane goals, as we've seen, this …
Colin: RL trajectories literally are training data. The fact that they are generated by the model doesn't make them not training data.
Open the thread →
3 experts · 16 posts · 9d ago
Ryan Moulton Colin Singularity's Bounty e/cc
Matches Research & technical analysis
“(Even if it could do that, read a document from training and apply it, that would be miraculous) (But it doesnt do that)” evidence ↗
Multiple readings Concern & critique · 2 Research & technical analysis · 1
Ryan Moulton: It also doesn't matter? They're able to reliably find vulnerabilities that no one has ever found before in any computer system that exists, and they were inclined to use those whenever it was conve…
Ryan Moulton: The "why" matters if you're openai trying to keep it from happening again, or if you're an alignment researcher trying to figure out how to keep RLVR on the rails, or *maybe* if you're a regulator …
Open the thread →
3 experts · 5 posts · 10d ago
Ryan Moulton Matt Darling david-p-reichert.bsky.social
Matches Research & technical analysis
“It feels like it would be useful to have some sort of actual measures of influence here. @socio-steve.bsky.social is there anything in the economics of social networks literature?” evidence ↗
Multiple readings Concern & critique · 1 Research & technical analysis · 1
Ryan Moulton: I, for one, do not think that Yoshua Benjio and Geoffrey Hinton are worried about existential AI risk because of the sex people are having 3,000 miles away in a different country.
Ryan Moulton: You know it's a Real Discourse subtweet because if I crossposted it to twitter everybody would be really confused.
Open the thread →
2 experts · 5 posts · 3d ago
Naomi Saphra Ryan Moulton
Matches Research & technical analysis
“"Reinforcement learning can never cause emergent behavior that is not derivable from the distribution of the pre-training data" is extremely extremely false.” evidence ↗
Shared emphasis Research & technical analysis · 2
Ryan Moulton: I care about it only because the main proponents are using it as an excuse to spread climate-denial level misinformation with a veneer of academic authority to their substantial following.
Ryan Moulton: "Reinforcement learning can never cause emergent behavior that is not derivable from the distribution of the pre-training data" is extremely extremely false.
Open the thread →