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What credible people across AI noticed, why it matters, and where the field is converging or disagreeing.

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Showing developments with attributable Opportunity & adoption reactions.

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Opportunity & adoption Research & technical analysis
2 live reaction maps in this view Jump to the evidence ↓
Multiple readings Life on the Uncanny Precipice | Naomi Saphra Research & technical analysis · 2 attributable reactions Multiple readings Introducing Claude Fable 5.1 and Claude Mythos 5.1 Research & technical analysis · 3 attributable reactions
Showing signals surfaced by Ted Underwood ×
Debated

The questions experts are actively pulling apart

One card per development. Sources are clustered; reaction bundles describe these posts, never the people behind them.

Established NLP & language Analysis 8d ago
⚡ 504 h early
Naomi Saphra uncanny AI precipice essay

Life on the Uncanny Precipice | Naomi Saphra

4 experts across 2 network communities independently surfaced this.

Why this matches Opportunity & adoption reaction 1 attributable expert contribution · Clément Canonne
“So many good points in this post by @nsaphra.bsky.social: only quoting a couple, to encourage you to read the others. "My colleagues and students adopt the writing quirks they read throughout the day, and their own writing becomes more like an LLM’s." nsaph…” evidence ↗
4 experts 2 communities 1 sources clustered
Naomi Saphra Ted Underwood Clément Canonne Ryan Moulton
How the network is reacting Experts are approaching this through 2 distinct lenses.
Multiple readings

Research & technical analysis

1 expert

Evidence, methods and technical implications.

“I've been unsettled lately when reading messages and papers. It feels like I'm dissociating. Everything seems a bit alien, even if it's completely human. I've had a realization: When our simulations finally exited the Uncanny Valley, they brought the Uncann…”

Opportunity & adoption

1 expert

New capabilities, benefits and practical upside.

“So many good points in this post by @nsaphra.bsky.social: only quoting a couple, to encourage you to read the others. "My colleagues and students adopt the writing quirks they read throughout the day, and their own writing becomes more like an LLM’s." nsaph…”

4 experts discussed this · 15 posts
Naomi Saphra: I've been unsettled lately when reading messages and papers. It feels like I'm dissociating. Everything seems a bit alien, even if it's completely human. I've had a realization: When our simulation…
Ted Underwood: I've been unsettled lately when reading messages and papers. It feels like I'm dissociating. Everything seems a bit alien, even if it's completely human. I've had a realization: When our simulation…
Naomi Saphra: I'm interested to know what signatures felt that way to you. For what it's worth, automated tools disagree with your intuition. I wonder if the unsettling tone, which was deliberate because it expr…
Open the full discussion →
Primary source nsaphra.net ↗
Established AI field signal Signal 6d ago
⚡ 3 h early

Introducing Claude Fable 5.1 and Claude Mythos 5.1

3 experts across 3 network communities independently surfaced this.

Why this matches Opportunity & adoption reaction 1 attributable expert contribution · Ted Underwood
“Hey, good news!! Fable 5.1 got interested in making a new more detailed map of Venus, which will be useful when we send, ah, rovers -- yeah, sure, rovers -- to the resource-rich and conveniently located planet. (www.anthropic.com/claude-fable...)” evidence ↗
3 experts 3 communities 1 sources clustered
Ted Underwood Ramon Astudillo Tim Kellogg
2 experts discussed this · 7 posts
tachikoma: i think Venus could be deconstructed by Von Neumann probes and this would only be passing news for most people, overshadowed by GTA 6 release or celebrity news
tachikoma: it sorta depends on how fast it happens, what the material is used for, and whether the machines can be traced back to us or not
tachikoma: yeah that would be a not uncommon take
Open the full discussion →
Primary source anthropic.com ↗
More conversations

What experts are discussing without an anchoring article

5 experts · 67 posts · 17d ago
Ted Underwood jake Shriram Krishnamurthi Arseny Khakhalin Singularity's Bounty e/cc
Matches Opportunity & adoption
“I’ll give up on this eventually, because as adoption spreads it’s going to be *so* much easier to put old controversies behind us by explaining them as a “botched roll-out.” But that’s not really i…” evidence ↗
Multiple readings Building & implementation · 1 Opportunity & adoption · 1 Questions & unknowns · 1
Ted Underwood: The recent popularity of the move to blame AI firms for ineffective *marketing* is mostly: a) a lot of people now realize they were wrong to spend 3 yrs insisting the tech was useless + b) “I was w…
Ted Underwood: A blunter way to explain 3 years of controversy: these products were and are genuinely problematic. Making hard problems easier is not useless. But it has very awkward effects on education and will…
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6 experts · 23 posts · 12d ago
Mark Riedl Ted Underwood Pwnallthethings tachikoma B! 🐝 Cavello (they/them) brennan
Matches Opportunity & adoption
“That’s incredibly impressive. I’m on my third turn and I’m enmeshed in a conversation about Spinoza and Fichte. It’s interpreting my actions faithfully but it also feels like there’s a narrative st…” evidence ↗
Multiple readings Concern & critique · 1 Building & implementation · 1 Questions & unknowns · 1
Ted Underwood: People who know about game design: Do you think open-world procedural narrative on the fly is bottlenecked by hardware, or is it a situation where players just don’t in practice want the openness t…
Ted Underwood: Or are we already building that? I am kind of gaming illiterate beyond Sim City, Civ, and hazy memories of Bioshock.
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4 experts · 22 posts · 3d ago
Ted Underwood John Warner Jane Rosenzweig Singularity's Bounty e/cc
Matches Opportunity & adoption
“Anyway, @tedunderwood.com always glad to hear what you think and one benefit of my new "situation" is that I have more time to think about these things as well.” evidence ↗
Multiple readings Building & implementation · 2 Research & technical analysis · 1 Questions & unknowns · 1
Ted Underwood: It’s important to me that my writing is *my* voice—warts and all. But I’m also not sure you can build a research discipline where the chief difference between an A paper and a C paper is “does this…
Ted Underwood: So I think a lot of debates about “whether to allow AI in writing classes” are fighting over the wrong part. We should be talking about how the nature of research in various disciplines can expand …
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4 experts · 39 posts · 18d ago
Ted Underwood Tim Kellogg brennan Nafnlaus 🇮🇸 🇺🇦
Matches Opportunity & adoption
“Um. I don't want to freak you out. But, knowing your brother, is there any chance that he's planning to transform himself into Spiderman's nemesis, The Scorpion?” evidence ↗
Multiple readings Research & technical analysis · 1 Opportunity & adoption · 1 Questions & unknowns · 1
Tim Kellogg: my brother sent me this CAD model. i have no idea what it is, looks cool i guess. he said it took Opus 5 about 90 minutes to produce it. While there are errors, it would’ve taken a human engineer a…
Tim Kellogg: how do you know? you know what it is, with all the details he needs?
Open the thread →
5 experts · 17 posts · 17d ago
Ted Underwood Matthew Kirschenbaum Laura K. Nelson Andrea Lathrop D. Hicks
Matches Opportunity & adoption
“"LLMs have exhibited remarkable capabilities" (TRUE) "LLMs have exhibited remarkable capabilities in interaction" (TRUE/TRUE-ish) "LLMs have exhibited remarkable capabilities in reasoning" (MAYBE/T…” evidence ↗
Multiple readings Concern & critique · 1 Policy & governance · 1 Opportunity & adoption · 1
Ted Underwood: I think it is possible to have this cake while eating it, thus: a) LLM text is often cogent and well-written. It is clearer and more concise than 99% of human text. (I used to teach writing.) b) Wh…
Ted Underwood: I do not want to read an email that the sender didn't write, or a blog post that they commissioned from model X--even if in my own work I find value in that same model. My rejection is not a judgem…
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4 experts · 16 posts · 19d ago
Eugene Vinitsky Ted Underwood tweety fish brennan
Matches Opportunity & adoption
“yeah, the other benefit of all of my stuff being free is that it's also boycott-proof "we're not going to support you!" -> err, okay?” evidence ↗
Multiple readings Concern & critique · 1 Policy & governance · 1 Opportunity & adoption · 1
Eugene Vinitsky: Very obviously the outcome of people mobbing those who publicly admit they use AI is everyone continuing to use it but hiding it
Eugene Vinitsky: This is a tool whose use is mostly unobservable. Solve for equilibrium
Open the thread →
4 experts · 15 posts · 14d ago
Ted Underwood Tim Kellogg Miguel Alonso Jr. jake
Matches Opportunity & adoption
“Same. I get better mileage and faster iterations with sol medium driving with subagent dispatches to terra and luna. High/xhigh is overkill for many tasks. Start with medium and only bump up if it …” evidence ↗
Multiple readings Building & implementation · 1 Opportunity & adoption · 1
Tim Kellogg: i’ve noticed with Sol on high or xhigh, if you give it a task that doesn’t require intelligence, it will turn it into a task that requires intelligence it’s honestly a really good idea to keep all …
Tim Kellogg: pretty sure i’ve seen the same thing with Terra/xhigh, i don’t think luna/xhigh will do it though symptom: a very easy task takes 2 hours
Open the thread →
3 experts · 17 posts · 3d ago
Ted Underwood Joshua Grochow Singularity's Bounty e/cc
Matches Opportunity & adoption
“True doesn’t always mean “useful” or “acceptable“. Discerning that is the hard part now” evidence ↗
Multiple readings Markets & investment · 1 Questions & unknowns · 1
Ted Underwood: LLMs are going to fundamentally change what scholarship is. Pumping out true propositions used to be a viable career. Now much of that can be offloaded, leaving scholars the tasks of understanding,…
Joshua Grochow: Re "Pumping out true propositions used to be a viable career." Even "back then" (i.e. last year? this year?) you still had to pump out true propositions *that other people were interested in*. What…
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2 experts · 12 posts · 16d ago
Ted Underwood Hagen Blix
Matches Opportunity & adoption
“I think if the further middle-management-ification of intellectual labor is the optimistic vision, lots of people are gonna have even more horror at this than they do now tbh” evidence ↗
Multiple readings Research & technical analysis · 1 Opportunity & adoption · 1
Ted Underwood: Both phases of this are worth reading: the crisis, and recovery. (A structure that reminds me of a famous similar crisis in JS Mill's Autobiography.) Personally, not v worried that human beings wil…
Ted Underwood: I admittedly do a lot of manual data labeling (RA work). But I also get to resolve disputes between different models and force them to cooperate, which is PI / assoc dean territory!
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3 experts · 3 posts · 14d ago
Ted Underwood Liz Fong-Jones (方禮真) Singularity's Bounty e/cc
Matches Opportunity & adoption
“Yeah. If anything I learn a lot faster because the prototypes can cycle a lot faster” evidence ↗
Singularity's Bounty e/cc: omg I have learned so much; my brain hurts eg my college math trajectory ended at Eigenvectors, so it was wonderful asking and getting caught back up on that and actually understanding the implicat…
Ted Underwood: I gotta say that my experience of using LLMs is very much not one where I don’t feel like I’m learning
Open the thread →
2 experts · 4 posts · 11d ago
Ted Underwood Singularity's Bounty e/cc
Matches Opportunity & adoption
“What troubles me a bit about the Hugging Face hack is: they invented an entire society with communication protocols and leaders and recruiters & new moral norms &c. Idk that “alignment” is a useful…” evidence ↗
Ted Underwood: What troubles me a bit about the Hugging Face hack is: they invented an entire society with communication protocols and leaders and recruiters & new moral norms &c. Idk that “alignment” is a useful…
Ted Underwood: There are definitely some references to utility, and the needs of the many outweigh the needs of the few or the one.
Open the thread →